Lack of wars now beginning to affect the economy


Regular readers over the years will know that God made a prophecy about “peace everywhere” and “revival everywhere“. There are a few more prophecies in the making but in this post I want to highlight the progress God is making wrt peace in this world.

The Lack of Major Wars May Be Hurting Economic GrowthNY Times

The continuing slowness of economic growth in high-income economies has prompted soul-searching among economists. They have looked to weak demand, rising inequality, Chinese competition, over-regulation, inadequate infrastructure and an exhaustion of new technological ideas as possible culprits.

An additional explanation of slow growth is now receiving attention, however. It is the persistence and expectation of peace.

The world just hasn’t had that much warfare lately, at least not by historical standards. Some of the recent headlines about Iraq or South Sudan make our world sound like a very bloody place, but today’s casualties pale in light of the tens of millions of people killed in the two world wars in the first half of the 20th century. Even the Vietnam War had many more deaths than any recent war involving an affluent country.

Counterintuitive though it may sound, the greater peacefulness of the world may make the attainment of higher rates of economic growth less urgent and thus less likely.

And there you have it. Real world evidence that God’s words from 8 or so years ago are now coming true.

Here is a list of conflicts which have more than 1,000 deaths per year

  • War in Afghanistan
  • Somali Civil War
  • Islamist insurgency in Nigeria
  • War in North-West Pakistan
  • Mexican Drug War
  • Egyptian Crisis
  • Syrian Civil War
  • Iraqi insurgency
  • Central African Republic conflict
  • South Sudanese Civil War

The red ones above are in decline and in a few years or less will probably vanish off this list.

That was before ISIS emerged… but that may still turn out to be hype… we have to wait and see. I think it is very unfortunate that leaders have fed so much mis-information to people, because now announcements are doubted and mis-trusted. It reminds me of the story of the young boy who cried wolf all the time and adults came to help only to find no wolf. Then one day there really WAS a wolf but no adults came to help. As a result it is my opinion that”engineering consent” is a bad idea because one day the adults – citizens – won’t come and help.

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2 responses to “Lack of wars now beginning to affect the economy

  1. It would be nice if the conflict is resolved… if all conflicts were resolved… if all people lived in peace. But I dont think that will happen. Sadly.

  2. I hope the conflict with ISIS is resolved quickly. The people of Iraq and Syria have been through so much. This latest terror will make their youth more radical and will drive more away from Islam. It happening all over the Middle East. People are getting so fed up war they are committing suicide or they are turning to drugs or anything else to num the emptiness. You just don’t hear about it because your head could be chopped off. Meanwhile there is a quiet exodus with people becoming christians. Nigerian christians say every time boka harem bombs someone, more people are turn to Christ. It’s happening in Sudan, Syria, Iraq, Iran, Saudia Arbria, etc. even some Israelites are turning to Christ record numbers. My mother and I are having a bet that the world will be christized by 2032. I’ll take her out to dinner or if not well be hiding in a bunker lol.

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